The Germany v Italy semi-final is an interesting puzzle. If you look back at history then the Germans, with their seven losses to the Italians, are out. But the past plays no role except perhaps to sow some doubts in vulnerable minds (Tonight, Thursday, June 28, TV: BBC1).
Germany have been playing the best football of any team seen in Euro 2012 so far. Although Spain await the winner in the final, the Iberian team have lacked a cutting edge for once while the Germans have looked disciplined, skilled and efficient in front of goal.
As befits their temperament, the Italians are capable of anything. They can raise their game and they will need to, particularly where it comes to converting chances into goals. They failed to score against England despite a total dominance of possession. England had leaked two goals to lowly Sweden, so the fact it had to go to penalties is not a good sign. Surely Germany would have buried the hard-working but moderate England team in 90 minutes?
Getting the ball into the back of the net has not been an issue for Germany. If there is a chink of light, Germany did concede two goals to Greece but they put four past them and it might have been many more.
To the Azzurri’s credit, their defence may be able to parry the strong attacking flair of Germany and the 0-0 ‘bore’ draw has been a feature of recent times that has followed them around. Could it be their saviour tonight? It will be hard to keep a clean sheet. After all, their opponents today have won their last fifteen competitive matches, which outshines even Spain and is a modern-day record.
For a significant period at the beginning of the match against Roy Hodgson’s team Italy were outplayed. It was in the final three quarters they dominated a tired team that had lost all clue, shape and confidence. Taking a form line through England alone gives a significant advantage to the young German side and who can forget their total destruction of England in the World Cup?
Germany v Italy Semi-Final Euro 2012 Betting Advice
Expect Italy to be defeated 2-0 and Joachim Low’s team, who have had two days longer for recovery, to progress to the final where they will probably beat Spain too. Here are our advised bets:
- Bet on Germany to win the match at 10/11 with Bet365
- Back Germany to beat Italy 2-0 at 8/1 with BetVictor