Epsom Derby Preview & 50/1 Betting Tip

Aidan O'BrienAs one of the most prestigious horse races in the world, the Derby requires little introduction. This year’s renewal has, as usual, attracted the crème de la crème of middle distance talent from Great Britain, Ireland and the rest of Europe (4.30pm, Epsom, Saturday).

Four favourites have won the Derby in the last ten years and this year Golden Horn (13/8), trained by John Gosden, is the clear favourite to win Britain’s richest flat race. Golden Horn is unbeaten in three starts and most recently readily drew clear to beat Jack Hobbs (9/2) and Elm Park (8/1) by 2¾ lengths and 3¼ lengths in the Dante Stakes over 1m2½f at York last month.

As a result of that performance, owner Anthony Oppenheimer paid the £75,000 necessary to supplement Golden Horn to the Derby field at the final entry stage on Monday and he looks to have an outstanding chance.

Aidan O’Brien saddles three runners, Giovanni Canaletto (7/1), Hans Holbein (16/1) and Kilimanjaro (20/1). Granted their influential connections, it’s probably unwise to write off any of the trio, but Giovanni Canaletto, due to be ridden by Ryan Moore, looks the stable first string. The Galileo colt was just touched off in the Gallinule Stakes over 1m2f at the Curragh last month, but was the subject of a major gamble earlier this week, just before the jockey bookings were made official.

Kilimanjaro is of particular interest at big odds, having been lightly raced. He did nothing wrong when coming from last to first in the Lingfield Derby trial and the yard’s apparent second and third strings have done very well in this race in previous years. While Success Days (16/1) is another with an underrated profile that could make his presence felt, although connections suspect he may need a softer surface to show his best.

Notwithstanding an extra furlong-and-a-half and the idiosyncrasies of the Epsom course, Golden Horn appears to hold Jack Hobbs and Elm Park on their running in the Dante Stakes. With Aidan O’Brien (pictured) expressing slight reservations about the participation of Giovanni Canaletto, some pundits think John Gosden’s charge starts to have the look of a proverbial ‘good thing’ about him but we won’t get rich backing 13/8 chances. So, in search of value for money, we’re turning instead to a forgotten horse in the form of trainer Richard Hannon’s Moheet (50/1).

He was eighth of 15 beaten 7¾ lengths behind Gleneagles in the 2,000 Guineas at Newmarket five weeks ago and just about everything that could go wrong did. His unbalanced jockey Frankie Dettori lost an iron early on his race and then the horse cannoned into a rival. He is very lightly raced and his Guineas effort was improved form. His sire was the Derby winner High Chaparral and he may well improve for this longer trip.

  • So our Epsom Derby betting tips advice is to back MOHEET each-way at an over-priced 50/1 with Bet365.

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