Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Betting Picks

It is an interesting match-up between the high-flying Detroit Tigers and the Minnesota Twins and we have found a solid betting pick in this MLB game (8.10pm ET, Today, Friday, Sept 28).

BetOnline MLB BettingFor the Detroit Tigers, the AL Central title is not only within reach but it is currently within their possession. They have peaked at the right time, winning seven of their last ten and found themselves passing the Chicago White Sox for first place in the division.

The Minnesota Twins meanwhile have been eliminated for postseason contention for quite some time. At 65-91 on the season, the best the Twins can do at this point is delay the Tigers celebration by a few games.

A Tale of Two Seasons for the Detroit Tigers

Before the 2012 season even began, there were reasons to believe that this year would be groundbreaking for all 32 major league teams. The market for free agents was one of the best it has been in years and as a result teams saw major shake-ups as marquee players left their former stomping grounds to sign multi-million dollar contracts elsewhere.

Luckily for the Tigers, they were one of the beneficiaries of the free agent bonanza. Not only did they manage to keep under contract Justin Verlander and Miguel Cabrera but they also inked former Milwaukee Brewer and power hitting first baseman, Prince Fielder.

On paper, getting Fielder made the Tigers legitimate World Series contenders. The problem however, was that just like so many things, baseball is not a sport played on paper. For the first half of the season and unexpectedly so, the Tigers struggled.

They came out of the gate strong, winning nine of their first twelve. As April came to a close though so did the Tigers winning streak. They stumbled in May, only once recording a winning streak of three or more. In May and June combined, they won just 27 games and finished the first half of the season with a 44-43 record.

As it goes however, the Tigers rebounded emphatically in the second half as they made their own push to the playoffs. They are currently 40-30 in the second half.

Although the Tigers’ numbers have gotten better, they have still underperformed based on what their on paper numbers should have been. Part of this can be attributed to injuries to both Fielder and a handful of pitchers in the bullpen and starting staff. Finally healthy now however, the Tigers have started to get into a good rhythm. Coming into this game on a four game winning streak, the Tigers are getting hot just in time for the playoffs.

A Triple Crown for Miguel Cabrera?

For the struggles the Tigers have had this season, one player has really been having an MVP season from day one. After nine years of major league experience, a career .318 average, over 300 home runs and 1,000 RBIs, Cabrera’s numbers have gotten even better as he is currently in the midst of the best season of his career.

Not only is Cabrera basically a lock to win the AL MVP because of his career year, but he is also in the midst of what could be a triple crown winning season.

Cabrera currently holds the AL lead in batting average with .326 and in RBI with 133. He is also first in slugging and OPS and second in home runs and runs. To win the Triple Crown, Cabrera will have to pass Texas Rangers’ Josh Hamilton who currently leads the home run category with 43 to Cabrera’s 42.

Although winning this prestigious title is extremely rare, Cabrera is on the cusp of it. Without him, the Tigers certainly wouldn’t be making this playoff push and if he continues to play out of his mind, this team could conceivably make a run at the World Series.

Final Thoughts

The Tigers dominate the Twins in every offensive and almost every pitching category. On the season, they have been the more consistent team and have put up numbers ranking them in the top ten in runs, batting average and slugging percentage. Partly because of Fielder and Cabrera, the team leads the majors in on base percentage with .337.

Against Minnesota, the Tigers could really tee off. The Twins are the easiest team to score on as they yield on average, 5.2 runs a game to their opponents. The Twins also give up the most hits to the opposing team allowing 9.6 per game. Meanwhile, the Tigers average 4.53 runs, sixth best in the league, and 9.1 hits a game.

On the season, Detroit unsurprisingly owns the head-to-head. They are 6-4 against the Twins this year including having won two of the three road match-ups they have played so far. Overall on the season however, the Tigers have not been a good road team, having a record of just 34-41.

Tigers v Twins Betting Picks Verdict

Combining all of the factors, the Tigers should run away with a win in this game and in the remaining two of the season. Pitching match-ups shouldn’t matter solely as it looks more like the Tigers explosive offense against the Twins’ lackluster attack. With Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau both not having great seasons, the Twins have really struggled. There is no reason to suggest they won’t continue to struggle as they are just 5-5 in their last ten and only 30-48 at home.

If the Twins pull off the upset, then so be it, but the way things have been going for both teams, it is very unlikely this happens. With all that the Tigers still have to play for, look for them to be at the top of their game and to score early and often on the Twins starter and overused bullpen.

  • The Tigers are favored on the moneyline at -144 with BetOnline Sportsbook (and are -1.5 @ odds of +110 on the runline with the same firm). Take that generous moneyline bet with BetOnline for sure. Bovada have pitched the betting closer to what I expected at -160.

BetOnline Baseball Betting Odds