The Cheveley Park Stakes for two-year-old fillies is run over six furlongs on the Rowley Mile Course at Newmarket (3.10pm, Newmarket, Saturday).
It is a prestigious race in its own right, but often provides some clues to next year’s 1,000 Guineas.
This year’s renewal has attracted 11 entries, headed by Tiggy Wiggy (6/5 favourite), trained by Richard Hannon (pictured), who has won five of her seven starts and been beaten half a length or less on the other two.
The daughter of Kodiac took the step up to 6f in her stride when staying on well to beat Cursory Glance by 1½ lengths in the Lowther Stakes at York last month. In so doing, she recorded her first success at group level. She also reversed earlier form with Anthem Alexander (9/2), who had beaten her by a neck in the Queen Mary Stakes over 5f at Royal Ascot in June.
Anthem Alexander was having her first race since, and just the fourth race of her career, when finishing third in the Lowther. While she may be capable of finishing closer to Tiggy Wiggy this time around, it would be no surprise if the latter confirmed the form on the same terms.
French raider High Celebrity (9/2), trained by Andre Fabre, has won both starts on home soil including the Group 3 Prix d’Arenberg over 5½f at Chantilly earlier this month, with a minimum of fuss.
However, the Invincible Spirit filly apparently had her limitations exposed when beaten 1¼ lengths at odds of 4/9 by Arabian Queen (25/1) in the Group 2 Duke of Cambridge Stakes over 6f on Newmarket’s July Course earlier in the year and may struggle to reverse the form.
Arabian Queen is held by Anthem Alexander and Tiggy Wiggy on their running in the Queen Mary Stakes, so neither she nor High Celebrity makes much appeal for win purposes.
John Gosden’s Oasis Dream filly Tendu (15/2) was impressive when winning a maiden, over six at Kempton by five lengths on just her second start earlier this month. However expecting her to make the transition to Group 1 level at this early stage of her career requires a leap of faith. The third at Kempton, Luna Mission, has been beaten again in another ordinary maiden at Yarmouth so, while John Gosden has won the Cheveley Park Stakes in the past, Tendu looks an unlikely winner.
A similar comment applies to Terror (14/1), who was even more impressive when winning a maiden at Warwick by 10 lengths last month, and Zuhoor Baynoona (33/1), Explosive Lady (40/1), Amaze Me (150/1) and Tongue Twista (150/1), who all appear outclassed.
- We won’t be winning any prizes for originality this week, but our Cheveley Park Stakes betting tips advice is to back TIGGY WIGGY to win at best odds of 6/5 with Bet365 or Betfair Sportsbook. She can record her first Group 1 win against her own sex en route to a possible tilt at the Prix de l’Abbaye at Longchamp the following weekend.