It is the first fillies’ Classic of the season, the 1000 Guineas at Newmarket (3.15pm, Sunday, May 6) and we have sorted out our betting tips for this straight-mile cavalry charge. We have found a little gem. The best bet in an open race is probably Lightening Pearl, who looks value each-way odds at around 16/1.
What follows is a horse-by-horse guide of the main contenders:
Maybe: This daughter of Galileo out of a Danehill mare cost 340,000 Euros at Arqana Sales as a yearling. She reclaimed £229,000 in winnings as a two year old for owners Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith and Mrs John Magnier with Aidan O’Brien.
She was a surprise winner for Ballydoyle on her racing debut in a maiden in May at Naas. Her stablemate Ahimsa ridden by Joseph O’Brien started the 15/8 favourite whilst she was sent off at 8/1 under Colm O’Donoghue. Maybe beat Jessica Harrington’s Princess Sinead by four and a half lengths with Ahimsa a length and a quarter behind her in third. She started the worthy favourite in her next four runs, winning the Chesham at Ascot in June under Ryan Moore who didn’t have to use his whip to win easily by just over two lengths. In her fifth and final run as a two year old Maybe started the odds on favourite in the Group One Moyglare Stud Stakes at the Curragh in August. She won the seven furlong contest by nearly two lengths but had to be driven out to beat David Wachman’s Fire Lily. She ended her season with a rating of 116 and seems a sensible favourite in the 1000 Guineas Betting but there is no guarantee that she will reproduce her previous form.
Lightening Pearl : Lightening Pearl was the star female performer of Pearl Bloodstock’s substantial string in 2011 despite being purchased for the relatively reasonable price, by their standards, of £125,000 as a yearlng. This daughter of Marju out of a Rossini mare also gave her Co Meath based trainer, Ger Lyons, his first success in a Group One when she concluded her 2011 season with a win in the Cheveley Park Stakes at Newmarket in September.
In her penultimate run in the seven furlong Group Three Tower Stakes at the Curragh in August, she beat David Wachman’s Experience by five lengths. Two months earlier it was Experience who had denied her a winning racecourse debut in a maiden at Navan. Her only other defeat in her five runs as a two year old came at the Curragh in early August when she was third in the Group Two Keeneland Debutante Stakes over seven furlongs. The race was won comfortably by Aidan O’Brien’s Maybe. Lightening Pearl was just a head behind the second placed Yellow Rosebud trained by Dermot Weld. Her efforts through her first season earned this filly a rating of 111. Trainer Ger Lyons has confirmed that the 1,000 Guineas is her initial target and she stands every chance of making the frame at the least and possibly winning. So if you are looking for each-way betting tips then this one might just earn a spot at the top of your list. She looks the value bet.
Mashoora: Jean-Claude Rouget trains this daughter of Barathea for Hamdan Al Maktoum who paid 280,000 guineas for her as a yearling. Unlike many other contenders in the 1,000 Guineas, Mashoora has already proved herself as a three year old by winning the seven furlong Group Three Prix Imprudence at Maisons-Laffitte almost exactly one month ago. Although she only beat Jean-Luc Pelletan’s Belle de Lune by a neck, she was ridden hands and heels only by Christophe Soumillon and was eased in the final fifty yards.
As a two year old Mashoora had three runs, all of which were at Deauville. She won her maiden over six furlongs on August 2nd before being beaten by one and a half lengths in the seven furlong Group Three, Prix du Calvados Haras des Capucines by John Gosden’s Elusive Kate who went on to win a Group One a month later. She started the 6/4 favourite in the Group Three Haras D’Etreham run over a mile but was narrowly beaten by P Bary’s Boldogsag. Mashoora may have only two wins to her name but her recent form and experience of running over a mile make her worthy of consideration if you are planning to trouble the best online bookies for a bet.
Lyric of Light: This daughter of Street Cry out of a Green Desert mare is trained by Mahmood Al Zarooni for Sheikh Mohammed. She triumphed in her three outings as a two year old, achieving a rating of 112. She won her seven furlong maiden at Newmarket in August under Mickael Barzalona beating William Haggas’ Diala by three quarters of a length. Frankie Dettori then rode her to victory in the Group Two May Hill Stakes over a mile at Doncaster in September. Starting at 9/1, she beat the 2/1 favourite, John Gosden’s Fallen For You by a neck. She concluded her season with a win in the Group One Shadwell Fillies’Mile at Newmarket, beating Mick Channon’s Samitar by a head for Dettori.
If her talents are carried into her new season, there are no doubts over her ability to perform over a mile and she could well make it two wins in a row in this race for Mahmood Al Zarooni. He is becoming a trainer to follow in this race and that may be one way of sorting out your 1000 Guineas betting tips.
Discourse: This Street Cry filly out of a Dixieland Band mare is another useful prospect for Mahmood Al Zarooni and Godolphin. With just two runs under her belt she has not raced since August when she started the 5/2 favourite and was an impressive winner of the Group Three Sweet Solera Stakes over seven furlongs at Newmarket under Frankie Dettori. She beat Richard Fahey’s Lily’s Angel by four and a half lengths. She had previously won her six furlong maiden at Newmarket in June, beating her much more fancied stablemate, Zarooni’s Gamilati who started the 2/5 favourite. She triumphed by a short head having started at 16/1 under Ahmed Ajtebi.
Her efforts have earned her a rating of 109 and, if she has matured well into a three year old, she could surprise her connections for the second time.
Nayaara: Trainer Mick Channon orchestrated a typically action-packed schedule for this two year old Cape Cross filly out of a Danehill mare. She started as favourite in the two five furlong maidens that begun her campaign but she was runner up in both. A visor was tried on her third outing on the turf at Lingfield over six furlongs where she once again started as favourite at 2/1 but was second by nearly two lengths to Mahmood Al Zarooni’s Huma Bird.
In five more runs over distances ranging from five to seven furlongs she was placed three times, including a third in a seven furlong Group Three at Newmarket where she was less than a length behind Clive Brittain’s winner, Alsindi and John Gosden’s Questing in September. She finished her season in October with a trip to San Siro in Italy where she finally won a Group One over a mile. That form may be difficult to assess but in her debut as a three year old in the Nell Gwyn Stakes at Newmarket on 18th April she was just a neck behind Richard Hannon’s Esentepe. Now rated 106, she seems unlikely to win the 1,000 Guineas but stands a good chance of picking up some place money for owner Prince Faisal.
To summarise, we expect Irish trainer Ger Lyons to have the highlight of his career so far. That’s because the best of the 1000 Guineas betting tips looks to be Lightning Pearl at tasty double-figure odds.
Latest Newmarket Classic Betting form the top bookies: 1000 Guineas Odds